NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated November 23, 2021
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Ellenberger | 22 | 16 | 68.8% | 1 | 33.6 | 1 |
| 2 | Steve Creaser | 20 | 18 | 66.7% | 2 | 32.6 | 2 |
| 3 | Gavin Gray | 18 | 16 | 56.2% | 3 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 4 | Matt Hogel | 17 | 17 | 54.8% | 4 | 27.4 | 4 |
| 5 | Nick Boucher | 16 | 17 | 51.6% | 6 | 25.9 | 6 |
| 5 | Andrew Batchelor | 16 | 18 | 53.3% | 5 | 25.9 | 5 |
| 5 | Luke Phelan | 16 | 16 | 50.0% | 7 | 25.8 | 7 |
| 8 | Mike Thorne | 14 | 18 | 46.7% | 8 | 24.2 | 8 |
| 9 | Karl Loiseau | 13 | 16 | 40.6% | 9 | 22.0 | 9 |
| 10 | Andrew Moeller | 10 | 18 | 33.3% | 10 | 19.1 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 9 | 13.1 | BYE | |
| Tennessee Titans | 8 | 11.6 | @NE | 0.28 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 8.9 | @SF | 0.39 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 7 | 11.4 | LVR | 0.76 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 12.0 | @IND | 0.61 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 9.2 | PIT | 0.66 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| New England Patriots | 7 | 10.5 | TEN | 0.72 |
| Cleveland Browns | 6 | 8.9 | @BAL | 0.36 |
| Denver Broncos | 5 | 8.6 | LAC | 0.41 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 7 | 11.0 | @GB | 0.5 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 7.3 | @MIA | 0.57 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 9.1 | MIN | 0.61 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 10.8 | CLE | 0.64 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 8.8 | BUF | 0.3 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 6.3 | @JAX | 0.5 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 6 | 9.3 | TB | 0.39 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 5 | 8.5 | @NYG | 0.62 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | 8.0 | @CIN | 0.34 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 8 | 11.9 | RAM | 0.5 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 6 | 10.1 | @DEN | 0.59 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 3.9 | @HOU | 0.41 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 10.7 | @NO | 0.7 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 7.7 | @DAL | 0.24 |
| New York Giants | 3 | 5.8 | PHI | 0.38 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7 | 10.7 | BYE | |
| Miami Dolphins | 4 | 6.9 | CAR | 0.43 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 4.4 | ATL | 0.5 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Washington | 4 | 6.8 | SEA | 0.54 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 5.5 | @DET | 0.61 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 6.8 | @WAS | 0.46 |
- Win probability calculated from consensus vegas point spreads
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Tennessee Titans | 8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 9 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 1 | 9 | -2 | 3 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 7 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cleveland Browns | 6 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| New England Patriots | 7 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Denver Broncos | 5 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 11 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 8 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 6 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 15 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | 9 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 6 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 5 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 4 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| New York Giants | 3 | 25 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| Miami Dolphins | 4 | 16 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 6 | 7 | -4 | 19 |
| Washington | 4 | 19 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 22 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Draft Results
