Last updated November 23, 2021

Standings

Rank Team Wins Remaining Games Win % Win % Rank Projected Wins (FPI) Projected Rank (FPI)
1 Dan Ellenberger 22 16 68.8% 1 33.6 1
2 Steve Creaser 20 18 66.7% 2 32.6 2
3 Gavin Gray 18 16 56.2% 3 28.0 3
4 Matt Hogel 17 17 54.8% 4 27.4 4
5 Nick Boucher 16 17 51.6% 6 25.9 6
5 Andrew Batchelor 16 18 53.3% 5 25.9 5
5 Luke Phelan 16 16 50.0% 7 25.8 7
8 Mike Thorne 14 18 46.7% 8 24.2 8
9 Karl Loiseau 13 16 40.6% 9 22.0 9
10 Andrew Moeller 10 18 33.3% 10 19.1 10

Expanded Standings

Team Wins Projected
Wins
Next
Opponent
Win Probability
in Next Game
Dan Ellenberger
Arizona Cardinals 9 13.1 BYE
Tennessee Titans 8 11.6 @NE 0.28
Minnesota Vikings 5 8.9 @SF 0.39
Steve Creaser
Dallas Cowboys 7 11.4 LVR 0.76
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 12.0 @IND 0.61
Cincinnati Bengals 6 9.2 PIT 0.66
Gavin Gray
New England Patriots 7 10.5 TEN 0.72
Cleveland Browns 6 8.9 @BAL 0.36
Denver Broncos 5 8.6 LAC 0.41
Matt Hogel
Los Angeles Rams 7 11.0 @GB 0.5
Carolina Panthers 5 7.3 @MIA 0.57
San Francisco 49ers 5 9.1 MIN 0.61
Andrew Batchelor
Baltimore Ravens 7 10.8 CLE 0.64
New Orleans Saints 5 8.8 BUF 0.3
Atlanta Falcons 4 6.3 @JAX 0.5
Luke Phelan
Indianapolis Colts 6 9.3 TB 0.39
Philadelphia Eagles 5 8.5 @NYG 0.62
Pittsburgh Steelers 5 8.0 @CIN 0.34
Nick Boucher
Green Bay Packers 8 11.9 RAM 0.5
Los Angeles Chargers 6 10.1 @DEN 0.59
New York Jets 2 3.9 @HOU 0.41
Mike Thorne
Buffalo Bills 6 10.7 @NO 0.7
Las Vegas Raiders 5 7.7 @DAL 0.24
New York Giants 3 5.8 PHI 0.38
Karl Loiseau
Kansas City Chiefs 7 10.7 BYE
Miami Dolphins 4 6.9 CAR 0.43
Jacksonville Jaguars 2 4.4 ATL 0.5
Andrew Moeller
Washington 4 6.8 SEA 0.54
Chicago Bears 3 5.5 @DET 0.61
Seattle Seahawks 3 6.8 @WAS 0.46

Weekly Head-to-Heads

Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested

Draft Analysis

Team Wins Draft
Spot
Expected
Wins
Performance vs.
Expectation
Better
Choices
Dan Ellenberger
Tennessee Titans 8 8 7 1 0
Arizona Cardinals 9 17 5 4 0
Minnesota Vikings 5 21 5 0 1
Steve Creaser
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 1 9 -2 3
Dallas Cowboys 7 20 5 2 0
Cincinnati Bengals 6 27 3 3 0
Gavin Gray
Cleveland Browns 6 10 6 0 2
New England Patriots 7 12 6 1 1
Denver Broncos 5 24 4 1 1
Matt Hogel
Los Angeles Rams 7 7 7 0 2
San Francisco 49ers 5 11 6 -1 6
Carolina Panthers 5 28 3 2 0
Nick Boucher
Green Bay Packers 8 3 8 0 1
Los Angeles Chargers 6 13 5 1 2
New York Jets 2 30 2 0 0
Andrew Batchelor
Baltimore Ravens 7 5 7 0 2
New Orleans Saints 5 15 6 -1 3
Atlanta Falcons 4 26 3 1 2
Luke Phelan
Pittsburgh Steelers 5 9 7 -2 6
Indianapolis Colts 6 14 6 0 2
Philadelphia Eagles 5 23 4 1 1
Mike Thorne
Buffalo Bills 6 4 7 -1 6
Las Vegas Raiders 5 18 5 0 2
New York Giants 3 25 4 -1 3
Karl Loiseau
Kansas City Chiefs 7 2 8 -1 3
Miami Dolphins 4 16 5 -1 8
Jacksonville Jaguars 2 29 2 0 0
Andrew Moeller
Seattle Seahawks 3 6 7 -4 19
Washington 4 19 5 -1 6
Chicago Bears 3 22 5 -2 5

Draft Results